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Research Builder Basics: Queries, Hit Rates, and Evidence
Key Takeaway
The builder is for questions you can state clearly: entity, market, window. Run, read the rate, then open evidence before you bet.
Shaping a Clean Query
Name the entity (team or player), the outcome, and the sample. Vague queries produce vague confidence.
Verify Every Strong Rate
Click through to the matches behind the number. If the story changes after two fixtures, your filters were too loose or too tight.
Name the query
Entity, outcome, window. If any of those is missing, the rate is not a decision — it is a headline. Tighten until you can defend the sample.
When two fixtures in the evidence list do not match the story, the filters are wrong. Change the query before you change the stake.
Try it on a team
Open a side you follow, build one query, and click through the matches behind the rate. Keep the card only if the events still support the market.
Reading the Match Research Workspace: What Bettors Need First
Patterns & Hit Rates: How to Read Outcome Cards Without Overfitting
Player Props: Building Shot and Shots-on-Target Queries